NAAYF · Fall 2026Through Wk 5 — Sat 10.03

8U
All-American

SortWin % → Head-to-head → PD
Model projectionPlayoffs 10.24 · 10.31 · 11.07

Standings

PD = PF − PA · bar ±114
1
Triumph4-0-1
+114
PF 120PA 6Home 2-0-1Away 2-0Tied 1
2
Meridianville4-0-1
+84
PF 106PA 22Home 2-0Away 2-0-1Tied 1
3
Madison4-1
+67
PF 106PA 39Home 2-0Away 2-1Won 3
4
Madison Academy4-1
+56
PF 104PA 48Home 1-1Away 3-0Won 4
5
Monrovia - Black3-2
+58
PF 97PA 39Home 2-1Away 1-1Won 1
6
Huntsville3-2
-19
PF 41PA 60Home 2-1Away 1-1Won 2
7
Westminster3-2
-21
PF 46PA 67Home 1-1Away 2-1Lost 2
8
Decatur City2-3
-31
PF 54PA 85Home 1-2Away 1-1Lost 2
9
Monrovia - Silver1-4
-19
PF 51PA 70Home 0-3Away 1-1Won 1
10
Triumph (7U)1-4
-112
PF 25PA 137Home 1-1Away 0-3Lost 1
11
Cullman0-5
-83
PF 34PA 117Home 0-3Away 0-2Lost 5
12
Ardmore0-5
-94
PF 12PA 106Home 0-2Away 0-3Lost 5
#TeamW-LWin %HomeAwayPFPAPDStreak
1
Triumph
4-0-1.9002-0-12-01206+114
Tied 1
2
Meridianville
4-0-1.9002-02-0-110622+84
Tied 1
3
Madison
4-1.8002-02-110639+67
Won 3
4
Madison Academy
4-1.8001-13-010448+56
Won 4
5
Monrovia - Black
3-2.6002-11-19739+58
Won 1
6
Huntsville
3-2.6002-11-14160-19
Won 2
7
Westminster
3-2.6001-12-14667-21
Lost 2
8
Decatur City
2-3.4001-21-15485-31
Lost 2
9
Monrovia - Silver
1-4.2000-31-15170-19
Won 1
10
Triumph (7U)
1-4.2001-10-325137-112
Lost 1
11
Cullman
0-5.0000-30-234117-83
Lost 5
12
Ardmore
0-5.0000-20-312106-94
Lost 5

Results + Schedule

WinLossTieProjected* pairing inferred
Triumph4-0-1
Wk 1
vs HUN
W 27-0
Wk 2
@ DEC
W 36-0
Wk 3
@ CUL
W 32-0
Wk 4
vs MOB
W 19-0
Wk 5
vs MER
T 6-6
Wk 6
@ ARD
W +36
100% win
Wk 7
vs MOS
W +24
99% win
Meridianville4-0-1
Wk 1
@ MA
W 20-2
Wk 2
vs MAD
W 20-14
Wk 3
@ MOS
W 27-0
Wk 4
vs WES
W 33-0
Wk 5
@ TRI
T 6-6
Wk 6
vs MOB
W +10
90% win
Wk 7
vs HUN
W +22
99% win
Madison4-1
Wk 1
vs ARD
W 32-0
Wk 2
@ MER
L 14-20
Wk 3
@ MOB
W 20-12
Wk 4
@ CUL
W 19-0
Wk 5
vs DEC
W 21-7
Wk 6
vs MA
W +5
73% win
Wk 7
vs WES
W +16
96% win
Madison Academy4-1
Wk 1
vs MER
L 2-20
Wk 2
@ MOS
W 18-6
Wk 3
vs T7
W 36-0
Wk 4
@ DEC
W 22-8
Wk 5
@ CUL
W 26-14
Wk 6
@ MAD
L −5
27% win
Wk 7
vs ARD
W +22
99% win
Monrovia - Black3-2
Wk 1
vs T7
W 32-0
Wk 2
vs ARD
W 26-0
Wk 3
vs MAD
L 12-20
Wk 4
@ TRI
L 0-19
Wk 5
@ WES
W 27-0
Wk 6
@ MER
L −10
10% win
Wk 7
v DEC*
W +7
83% win
Huntsville3-2
Wk 1
@ TRI
L 0-27
Wk 2
vs CUL
W 20-14
Wk 3
vs DEC
L 0-19
Wk 4
vs MOS
W 6-0
Wk 5
@ ARD
W 15-0
Wk 6
v T7*
W +13
94% win
Wk 7
@ MER
L −22
1% win
Westminster3-2
Wk 1
@ MOS
W 13-7
Wk 2
vs T7
W 19-0
Wk 3
@ ARD
W 14-0
Wk 4
@ MER
L 0-33
Wk 5
vs MOB
L 0-27
Wk 6
vs DEC
L −5
26% win
Wk 7
@ MAD
L −16
4% win
Decatur City2-3
Wk 1
vs CUL
W 20-6
Wk 2
vs TRI
L 0-36
Wk 3
@ HUN
W 19-0
Wk 4
vs MA
L 8-22
Wk 5
@ MAD
L 7-21
Wk 6
@ WES
W +5
74% win
Wk 7
v MOB*
L −7
17% win
Monrovia - Silver1-4
Wk 1
vs WES
L 7-13
Wk 2
vs MA
L 6-18
Wk 3
vs MER
L 0-27
Wk 4
@ HUN
L 0-6
Wk 5
@ T7
W 38-6
Wk 6
v CUL*
W +3
67% win
Wk 7
@ TRI
L −24
1% win
Triumph (7U)1-4
Wk 1
@ MOB
L 0-32
Wk 2
@ WES
L 0-19
Wk 3
@ MA
L 0-36
Wk 4
vs ARD
W 19-12
Wk 5
vs MOS
L 6-38
Wk 6
v HUN*
L −13
6% win
Wk 7
v CUL*
L −10
11% win
Cullman0-5
Wk 1
@ DEC
L 6-20
Wk 2
@ HUN
L 14-20
Wk 3
vs TRI
L 0-32
Wk 4
vs MAD
L 0-19
Wk 5
vs MA
L 14-26
Wk 6
v MOS*
L −3
33% win
Wk 7
v T7*
W +10
89% win
Ardmore0-5
Wk 1
@ MAD
L 0-32
Wk 2
@ MOB
L 0-26
Wk 3
vs WES
L 0-14
Wk 4
@ T7
L 12-19
Wk 5
vs HUN
L 0-15
Wk 6
vs TRI
L −36
0% win
Wk 7
@ MA
L −22
1% win
Wk 1
08.29
Wk 2
09.12
Wk 3
09.19
Wk 4
09.26
Wk 5
10.03
Wk 6
10.10
Wk 7
10.17
Triumph
vs HUN
W 27-0
@ DEC
W 36-0
@ CUL
W 32-0
vs MOB
W 19-0
vs MER
T 6-6
@ ARD
W +36
100% win
vs MOS
W +24
99% win
Meridianville
@ MA
W 20-2
vs MAD
W 20-14
@ MOS
W 27-0
vs WES
W 33-0
@ TRI
T 6-6
vs MOB
W +10
90% win
vs HUN
W +22
99% win
Madison
vs ARD
W 32-0
@ MER
L 14-20
@ MOB
W 20-12
@ CUL
W 19-0
vs DEC
W 21-7
vs MA
W +5
73% win
vs WES
W +16
96% win
Madison Academy
vs MER
L 2-20
@ MOS
W 18-6
vs T7
W 36-0
@ DEC
W 22-8
@ CUL
W 26-14
@ MAD
L −5
27% win
vs ARD
W +22
99% win
Monrovia - Black
vs T7
W 32-0
vs ARD
W 26-0
vs MAD
L 12-20
@ TRI
L 0-19
@ WES
W 27-0
@ MER
L −10
10% win
v DEC*
W +7
83% win
Huntsville
@ TRI
L 0-27
vs CUL
W 20-14
vs DEC
L 0-19
vs MOS
W 6-0
@ ARD
W 15-0
v T7*
W +13
94% win
@ MER
L −22
1% win
Westminster
@ MOS
W 13-7
vs T7
W 19-0
@ ARD
W 14-0
@ MER
L 0-33
vs MOB
L 0-27
vs DEC
L −5
26% win
@ MAD
L −16
4% win
Decatur City
vs CUL
W 20-6
vs TRI
L 0-36
@ HUN
W 19-0
vs MA
L 8-22
@ MAD
L 7-21
@ WES
W +5
74% win
v MOB*
L −7
17% win
Monrovia - Silver
vs WES
L 7-13
vs MA
L 6-18
vs MER
L 0-27
@ HUN
L 0-6
@ T7
W 38-6
v CUL*
W +3
67% win
@ TRI
L −24
1% win
Triumph (7U)
@ MOB
L 0-32
@ WES
L 0-19
@ MA
L 0-36
vs ARD
W 19-12
vs MOS
L 6-38
v HUN*
L −13
6% win
v CUL*
L −10
11% win
Cullman
@ DEC
L 6-20
@ HUN
L 14-20
vs TRI
L 0-32
vs MAD
L 0-19
vs MA
L 14-26
v MOS*
L −3
33% win
v T7*
W +10
89% win
Ardmore
@ MAD
L 0-32
@ MOB
L 0-26
vs WES
L 0-14
@ T7
L 12-19
vs HUN
L 0-15
vs TRI
L −36
0% win
@ MA
L −22
1% win
Codes: TRI Triumph · MER Meridianville · WES Westminster · MAD Madison · MOB Monrovia Black · MA Madison Academy · DEC Decatur City · HUN Huntsville · MOS Monrovia Silver · CUL Cullman · ARD Ardmore · T7 Triumph (7U)

Projected Final Model projection

Opponent-adjusted ratings · 5,000 simulated seasons + playoffs
1
Triumph6-0-1
+174
Now 4-0-1Rating +18.8Playoff >99%Bye >99%Title 57%
@ ARD · vs MOS
2
Meridianville6-0-1
+116
Now 4-0-1Rating +17.3Playoff >99%Bye 92%Title 38%
vs MOB · vs HUN
3
Madison6-1
+88
Now 4-1Rating +10.3Playoff >99%Bye 6%Title 4%
vs MA · vs WES
4
Madison Academy5-2
+73
Now 4-1Rating +5.6Playoff >99%Bye 3%Title <1%
@ MAD · vs ARD
5
Monrovia - Black4-3
+55
Now 3-2Rating +7.1Playoff 85%Bye —Title <1%
@ MER · v DEC*
6
Huntsville4-3
-28
Now 3-2Rating -5.1Playoff 86%Bye —Title —
v T7* · @ MER
—
Decatur City3-4
-33
Now 2-3Rating -0.3Playoff 14%Bye —Title —
@ WES · v MOB*
—
Westminster3-4
-42
Now 3-2Rating -5.3Playoff 15%Bye —Title —
vs DEC · @ MAD
—
Monrovia - Silver2-5
-40
Now 1-4Rating -4.8Playoff —Bye —Title —
v CUL* · @ TRI
—
Cullman1-6
-76
Now 0-5Rating -8.3Playoff —Bye —Title —
v MOS* · v T7*
—
Triumph (7U)1-6
-135
Now 1-4Rating -18.4Playoff —Bye —Title —
v HUN* · v CUL*
—
Ardmore0-7
-152
Now 0-5Rating -16.9Playoff —Bye —Title —
vs TRI · @ MA
SeedTeamNowProj W-LProj PDRatingPlayoffByeTitleRemaining
1
Triumph
4-0-16-0-1+174+18.8>99%>99%57%@ ARD · vs MOS
2
Meridianville
4-0-16-0-1+116+17.3>99%92%38%vs MOB · vs HUN
3
Madison
4-16-1+88+10.3>99%6%4%vs MA · vs WES
4
Madison Academy
4-15-2+73+5.6>99%3%<1%@ MAD · vs ARD
5
Monrovia - Black
3-24-3+55+7.185%—<1%@ MER · v DEC*
6
Huntsville
3-24-3-28-5.186%——v T7* · @ MER
—
Decatur City
2-33-4-33-0.314%——@ WES · v MOB*
—
Westminster
3-23-4-42-5.315%——vs DEC · @ MAD
—
Monrovia - Silver
1-42-5-40-4.8———v CUL* · @ TRI
—
Cullman
0-51-6-76-8.3———v MOS* · v T7*
—
Triumph (7U)
1-41-6-135-18.4———v HUN* · v CUL*
—
Ardmore
0-50-7-152-16.9———vs TRI · @ MA

Playoff Picture

Six teams · 1 & 2 seeds bye · seeded from projection
First round · 10.24
1Triumph
Bye
4Madison Academy
5Monrovia - Black+2
3Madison+15
6Huntsville
2Meridianville
Bye
Semifinals · 10.31
1Triumph+12
5Monrovia - Black
3Madison
2Meridianville+7
Championship · 11.07
1Triumph+2
2Meridianville
Race for the byes
Bye odds: Triumph >99% · Meridianville 92% · Madison 6% · Madison Academy 3%. Triumph and Meridianville are both 4-0-1 after their 6-6 tie, so PD decides it between them (Triumph +114, Meridianville +84). Madison vs Madison Academy on Oct 10 is the swing game.
Bubble
Last in: Huntsville, 86% to make it. First out: Decatur City, 14%. Then Westminster, 15%.
Title odds
Triumph 57% · Meridianville 38% · Madison 4% · Monrovia - Black <1%. Triumph wins the single most-likely bracket shown above.

How predictions work

Each team gets a rating based on how much it has won or lost by, adjusted for how tough its opponents were. Blowouts are capped so running up the score doesn’t count extra. The higher-rated team is favored, and the win % shows how likely that is. The computer then plays out the rest of the season and playoffs 5,000 times, with upsets mixed in, to get each team’s playoff, bye and title chances. It’s an estimate. It can’t know about injuries, missing players, or a bad bounce.